"If you were completely unsure as to whether it would rain tomorrow, what probability of precipitation should you forecast?"
The answers to this question are something to which I've long been interested. I would appreciate it if you would register your answer below. I'll leave the poll up for a few days, after which I'll write a new post with the results and the correct answer.
Please share this poll with your friends and colleagues. However, if you do share this poll, please do not "explain" your answer. I would like to try and get people's personal thoughts on this question; not necessarily the correct answer. For this reason, and this reason alone, I have turned off comments for this particular post.
Please note that this poll is informal and anonymous. No personal information is being collected! Lastly, when clicking either the "vote" or "view" buttons, you will be taken to the poll hosting company's website. You can use the back button to return to this page.